A simulation model of economic growth : an empirical analysis for USA

Part of : Αρχείον οικονομικής ιστορίας ; Vol.XXVI, No.2, 2014, pages 33-56

Issue:
Pages:
33-56
Author:
Abstract:
This study investigates a simulation model of economic growth for United States of America for the period 1970-2012. The purpose of this study is to examine the main determinants of economic growth examining a structural system equation model. Two stage least squares method is used in order to examine the direct and indirect relationships between the dependent variables of the model. Finally, a Monte Carlo simulation method is applied in order to define the sensitivity analysis and predictive ability of the estimated system equation model.
Subject:
Subject (LC):
Keywords:
Economic growth, System equation model, Monte Carlo simulation
References (1):
  1. Adamopoulos, A. (2010a). Financial development and economic growth: Acomparative study between 15 European Union member-states, InternationalResearch Journal of Finance and Economics, 35, pp.143-149.Adamopoulos, A. (2010b). Stock market and economic growth: an empiricalanalysis for Germany, Business Economic Journal, 1(1), pp.1-12.Bencivenga, V., Smith, B. and Starr, R. (1996) Equity Martkets, TransactionCosts, and Capital Accumulation: An Illustration, The World Bank EconomicReview, 10(2), pp.241-265.Eviews 7.1. (2009) Quantitative Micro Software, Irvine, California.Greenwood, J. and Jovanovic, B. (1990) Financial development, growth anddistribution of income, Journal of Political Economy, 98, pp. 1076-1107.International Monetary Fund, (IMF) (2012) International Financial StatisticsYearbook, 2012, Washington DC: Various Years.Katos, A., (2004) Econometrics: Theory and practice, Thessaloniki: Zygos(eds).Katos, Α., Pallis, D., and Katsouli, Ε. (2004). System estimates of cyclicalunemployment and cyclical output in the 15 European Union memberstates,International Journal of Applied Econometrics and QuantitativeStudies, 1, pp. 5-25.Katsouli, E. (2003) Book review: Money, Finance and Capitalist Development,In Philip Arestis and Malcolme Sawyer, Economic Issues.King, R. and Levine, R. (1993) Finance, entrepreneurship, and growth: Theoryand evidence, Journal of Monetary Economics, 32, pp. 513-542.Levine, R. (1997) Financial development and economic growth: Views andagenda, Journal of Economic Literature, 35(2), pp. 688-726.Levine, R. and Zervos, S. (1998) Stock markets, banks and economic growth,The American Economic Review, 88(3), pp. 537-558.Pagano, M. (1993) Financial markets and growth: An overview, EuropeanEconomic Review, 37, pp. 613-622.Rivera-Batiz, L. and Romer, P. (1991) Economic Integration and EndogenousGrowth, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106, pp. 531-55.Seddighi, H., Lawler, K., and Katos, A., (2000). Econometrics: A practicalapproach, London: Routledge.Shan, J. (2005) Does stock development lead economic growth? - A vectorauto-regression appraisal, Applied Economics, 37, pp. 1353-1367.Vazakidis, A. (2006) Testing simple versus Dimson market models: The caseof Athens Stock Exchange, International Research Journal of Financeand Economics, 2, pp. 26-34.Vazakidis A., and A. Adamopoulos (2011a). “Financial development and economicgrowth: an empirical analysis for UK”, European Research StudiesJournal, 14(2), pp. 138-145.